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      Technological progress reduces labor demand Robots will become the main force of manufacturing

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      Technological progress reduces labor demand Robots will become the main force of manufacturing

      Release date:2019-11-22 00:00 Source:http://www.sxjbzy.com Click:

      Bank of America Merrill Lynch proposed in 2015 that deflation = debt + population + technological disruption is a shocking phrase.

      Today, some analysts continue to shout that technological progress will become a permanent deflationary force, and industrial robots will completely change the world.

      industrial robots

      Former Forex trader and analyst Mark Cudmore proposed:

      The impact of technological progress on wages and the rise in commodity prices are both negative, and wages and commodities are the two basic factors of long-term inflation.

      The detection, extraction, production and distribution of commodities have become more efficient and cheaper due to technological advances. This has a negative impact on the long-term rise of commodities and also means that the prices of commodities driven by demand The rise is unsustainable.

      At the same time, technology has reduced the demand for labor, and people with professional skills will be able to earn more money, but the rise of robots will reduce the median salary. This has a particularly large impact on developed countries, as wage levels in developed countries are already relatively high.

      Technology has changed the world

      Analyst Mark Cudmore said that all this means that inflation is difficult to rise, but this does not prevent the price of financial assets from rising. The divergence between financial assets and global inflation is not surprising, as global wealth is increasing, liquidity is abundant, and interest rates remain unchanged.

      He said that the chain reaction caused by this is that the bond yield curve will be flatter than we thought, and because of the conversion of the discount rate model, the global stock market will appear distorted compared to history. In other words, the 30-year bull market in the global bond market has come to an end, but the state of the bond market will not get worse. As long as the inflation target is the primary goal of monetary policy, it is unlikely that yields will continue to rise. The global convergence of risk premiums will also slowly become a long-term theme.

      Robots will kill 3.5 million U.S. workers in the next 10 years

      The fact that labor has been replaced by robots has already begun to take shape in the United States. Wall Street News previously mentioned that research has shown that it is not Mexico but robots that are taking American workers.

      A MIT and Boston University research report "Robots and Jobs: Evidence from the Labor Market" states that an increase in the number of robots owned per 1,000 workers will reduce the U.S. employment rate by 18-35 percent, and workers' salaries will also decrease Reduced by 25-50 percentage points.

      The research report states:

      The impact of robots on employment is mainly in the manufacturing industry, such as assembly of conventional manual tasks, which is particularly significant for blue-collar workers with low education.

      Related labels:RobotSeries

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